-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
       log:  C:\Work\Research\Alliance\escexp\MintzRussett\Leeds2004.smcl
  log type:  smcl
 opened on:   7 Oct 2004, 15:04:23

. do "C:\Work\Research\Alliance\escexp\MintzRussett\Leeds2004.do"

. use "C:\Work\Research\Alliance\escexp\MintzRussett\Leeds2004.dta", clear

. 
. heckprob multinit capprop dendyt2d ofndyt1d targjoin, select (disdum=jdem con
> tig capprop swtglo dndyns2d ofndyt1d neuto1d) nolog

Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      =     69730
                                                Censored obs       =     68918
                                                Uncensored obs     =       812

                                                Wald chi2(4)       =     69.22
Log likelihood =  -4546.27                      Prob > chi2        =    0.0000

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
multinit     |
     capprop |   .4473945   .1000116     4.47   0.000     .2513754    .6434136
    dendyt2d |  -.4485275   .0900135    -4.98   0.000    -.6249506   -.2721043
    ofndyt1d |   .2288281   .0699748     3.27   0.001     .0916801    .3659761
    targjoin |   .3309917   .0966445     3.42   0.001      .141572    .5204114
       _cons |  -3.066715   .0729475   -42.04   0.000     -3.20969   -2.923741
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
disdum       |
        jdem |  -.1270677   .0526776    -2.41   0.016    -.2303139   -.0238214
      contig |   .5299931   .0296394    17.88   0.000      .471901    .5880852
     capprop |   .1855621   .0384193     4.83   0.000     .1102617    .2608625
      swtglo |  -.3883967   .0381157   -10.19   0.000    -.4631022   -.3136913
    dndyns2d |  -.1937619   .0340219    -5.70   0.000    -.2604437   -.1270801
    ofndyt1d |    .189018   .0379452     4.98   0.000     .1146467    .2633893
     neuto1d |   .2090189   .0358697     5.83   0.000     .1387156    .2793222
       _cons |  -2.321225   .0352549   -65.84   0.000    -2.390323   -2.252126
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
     /athrho |   1.819715    .328783     5.53   0.000     1.175312    2.464118
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         rho |     .94881   .0327993                      .8259676    .9856255
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LR test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0):   chi2(1) =    50.02   Prob > chi2 = 0.0000
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. predict minipre2, p11
(69024 missing values generated)

. replace ofndyt1d=1
(61188 real changes made)

. predict mini2of, p11
(69024 missing values generated)

. replace ofndyt1d=0
(69836 real changes made)

. predict mini2nof, p11
(69024 missing values generated)

. sum multinit minipre2 mini2of mini2nof

    Variable |     Obs        Mean   Std. Dev.       Min        Max
-------------+-----------------------------------------------------
    multinit |     812    .1982759   .3989468          0          1
    minipre2 |     812    .0031025   .0023864   .0002179   .0165469
     mini2of |     812    .0048936   .0029677   .0005012   .0188143
    mini2nof |     812    .0025303   .0016436   .0002179   .0105748

. replace ofndyt1d=offense
(8648 real changes made)

. 
. predict minipre3, pcond
(69024 missing values generated)

. replace ofndyt1d=1
(61188 real changes made)

. predict mini3of, pcond
(69024 missing values generated)

. replace ofndyt1d=0
(69836 real changes made)

. predict mini3nof, pcond
(69024 missing values generated)

. sum multinit minipre3 mini3of mini3nof

    Variable |     Obs        Mean   Std. Dev.       Min        Max
-------------+-----------------------------------------------------
    multinit |     812    .1982759   .3989468          0          1
    minipre3 |     812    .1979274   .1469378   .0089631   .8003831
     mini3of |     812    .2276319   .1567288   .0090315    .841881
    mini3nof |     812    .1893262   .1416766   .0058049   .8003831

. replace ofndyt1d=offense
(8648 real changes made)

. 
. heckprob multtarg capprop dendyt2d ofndyt1d neuto1d initjoin, select (disdum=
> jdem contig capprop swtglo dndyns2d ofndyt1d neuto1d) nolog

Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      =     69730
                                                Censored obs       =     68918
                                                Uncensored obs     =       812

                                                Wald chi2(5)       =     68.93
Log likelihood = -4543.149                      Prob > chi2        =    0.0000

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
multtarg     |
     capprop |  -.3518228   .1676369    -2.10   0.036    -.6803851   -.0232605
    dendyt2d |   .8565375   .1308025     6.55   0.000     .6001693    1.112906
    ofndyt1d |  -.4662049   .1701993    -2.74   0.006    -.7997895   -.1326204
     neuto1d |   -.377617   .1715719    -2.20   0.028    -.7138917   -.0413424
    initjoin |   .6687995    .178672     3.74   0.000     .3186088     1.01899
       _cons |   -.821591   .6679103    -1.23   0.219    -2.130671    .4874892
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
disdum       |
        jdem |  -.1429759   .0595357    -2.40   0.016    -.2596637    -.026288
      contig |   .5232802   .0309037    16.93   0.000     .4627101    .5838503
     capprop |   .1853368   .0384755     4.82   0.000     .1099261    .2607475
      swtglo |  -.4107227   .0402469   -10.21   0.000    -.4896052   -.3318403
    dndyns2d |  -.2052814   .0343364    -5.98   0.000    -.2725795   -.1379833
    ofndyt1d |   .1843164   .0381802     4.83   0.000     .1094846    .2591482
     neuto1d |   .2026721   .0386333     5.25   0.000     .1269523    .2783919
       _cons |  -2.301226   .0361873   -63.59   0.000    -2.372152   -2.230301
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
     /athrho |  -.0046335    .251516    -0.02   0.985    -.4975958    .4883289
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         rho |  -.0046334   .2515106                     -.4602243    .4528891
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LR test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0):   chi2(1) =     0.00   Prob > chi2 = 0.9853
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. predict mtarpre2, p11
(69024 missing values generated)

. replace dendyt2d=1
(48812 real changes made)

. replace dndyns2d=1
(49773 real changes made)

. predict mtar2df, p11
(69024 missing values generated)

. replace dendyt2d=0
(69836 real changes made)

. replace dndyns2d=0
(69836 real changes made)

. predict mtar2ndf, p11
(69024 missing values generated)

. sum multtarg mtarpre2 mtar2df mtar2ndf

    Variable |     Obs        Mean   Std. Dev.       Min        Max
-------------+-----------------------------------------------------
    multtarg |     812    .1908867   .3932422          0          1
    mtarpre2 |     812    .0030261   .0027638    .000309   .0258045
     mtar2df |     812    .0044444   .0032174   .0007447   .0344651
    mtar2ndf |     812    .0024469   .0019355    .000309   .0258045

. replace dendyt2d=defense
(21024 real changes made)

. replace dndyns2d=defnosec
(20063 real changes made)

. 
. replace neuto1d=1
(62426 real changes made)

. predict mtar2ne, p11
(69024 missing values generated)

. replace neuto1d=0
(69836 real changes made)

. predict mtar2nne, p11
(69024 missing values generated)

. sum multtarg mtarpre2 mtar2ne mtar2nne

    Variable |     Obs        Mean   Std. Dev.       Min        Max
-------------+-----------------------------------------------------
    multtarg |     812    .1908867   .3932422          0          1
    mtarpre2 |     812    .0030261   .0027638    .000309   .0258045
     mtar2ne |     812    .0028829   .0028352    .000309   .0283755
    mtar2nne |     812    .0030768   .0027505   .0004198   .0258045

. replace neuto1d=neutral
(7410 real changes made)

. 
. predict mtarpre3, pcond
(69024 missing values generated)

. replace dendyt2d=1
(48812 real changes made)

. replace dndyns2d=1
(49773 real changes made)

. predict mtar3df, pcond
(69024 missing values generated)

. replace dendyt2d=0
(69836 real changes made)

. replace dndyns2d=0
(69836 real changes made)

. predict mtar3ndf, pcond
(69024 missing values generated)

. sum multtarg mtarpre3 mtar3df mtar3ndf

    Variable |     Obs        Mean   Std. Dev.       Min        Max
-------------+-----------------------------------------------------
    multtarg |     812    .1908867   .3932422          0          1
    mtarpre3 |     812    .1910971   .1392852    .021315   .7464867
     mtar3df |     812    .3826467   .1317693   .1206772   .7544681
    mtar3ndf |     812    .1350605   .0748427    .021315   .4336636

. replace dendyt2d=defense
(21024 real changes made)

. replace dndyns2d=defnosec
(20063 real changes made)

. 
. replace neuto1d=1
(62426 real changes made)

. predict mtar3ne, pcond
(69024 missing values generated)

. replace neuto1d=0
(69836 real changes made)

. predict mtar3nne, pcond
(69024 missing values generated)

. sum multtarg mtarpre3 mtar3ne mtar3nne

    Variable |     Obs        Mean   Std. Dev.       Min        Max
-------------+-----------------------------------------------------
    multtarg |     812    .1908867   .3932422          0          1
    mtarpre3 |     812    .1910971   .1392852    .021315   .7464867
     mtar3ne |     812    .1240981   .1053512    .021315    .612826
    mtar3nne |     812    .2056729   .1397352   .0494181   .7464867

. replace neuto1d=neutral
(7410 real changes made)

. 
. 
. heckprob war jdem capdif dendyt2d ofndyt1d neuto1d, select (disdum=jdem conti
> g capprop swtglo dendyt2d ofndyt1d neuto1d) nolog

Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      =     69730
                                                Censored obs       =     68918
                                                Uncensored obs     =       812

                                                Wald chi2(5)       =      6.97
Log likelihood =  -4410.18                      Prob > chi2        =    0.2229

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
war          |
        jdem |  -.2510988   .3415108    -0.74   0.462    -.9204476      .41825
      capdif |   -1.73414   .9559505    -1.81   0.070    -3.607769    .1394881
    dendyt2d |  -.3001064   .1798148    -1.67   0.095     -.652537    .0523242
    ofndyt1d |   .0658194   .1859422     0.35   0.723    -.2986206    .4302595
     neuto1d |  -.0708223   .1945746    -0.36   0.716    -.4521815    .3105369
       _cons |  -1.566425   .7488212    -2.09   0.036    -3.034088   -.0987628
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
disdum       |
        jdem |  -.1428425    .059467    -2.40   0.016    -.2593957   -.0262892
      contig |   .5228969   .0308591    16.94   0.000     .4624141    .5833797
     capprop |   .1917471   .0383498     5.00   0.000     .1165829    .2669112
      swtglo |  -.4086832   .0395082   -10.34   0.000    -.4861179   -.3312485
    dendyt2d |   -.191063   .0332929    -5.74   0.000    -.2563159   -.1258102
    ofndyt1d |    .184922   .0381532     4.85   0.000     .1101431    .2597008
     neuto1d |   .2021482   .0386183     5.23   0.000     .1264577    .2778387
       _cons |  -2.306263   .0357981   -64.42   0.000    -2.376425     -2.2361
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
     /athrho |    .138756      .3228     0.43   0.667    -.4939204    .7714324
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         rho |   .1378723    .316664                     -.4573224    .6477616
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LR test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0):   chi2(1) =     0.19   Prob > chi2 = 0.6656
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. predict warpre3, p11
(106 missing values generated)

. replace dendyt2d=1
(48812 real changes made)

. predict wardef2, p11
(106 missing values generated)

. replace dendyt2d=0
(69836 real changes made)

. predict warnodf2, p11
(106 missing values generated)

. replace dendyt2d=defense
(21024 real changes made)

. replace ofndyt1d=1
(61188 real changes made)

. predict waroff2, p11
(106 missing values generated)

. replace ofndyt1d=0
(69836 real changes made)

. predict warnoof2, p11
(106 missing values generated)

. replace ofndyt1d=offense
(8648 real changes made)

. replace neuto1d=1
(62426 real changes made)

. predict warneu2, p11
(106 missing values generated)

. replace neuto1d=0
(69836 real changes made)

. predict warnone2, p11
(106 missing values generated)

. replace neuto1d=neutral
(7410 real changes made)

. 
. sum war warpre3 wardef2 warnodf2 waroff2 warnoof2 warneu2 warnone2

    Variable |     Obs        Mean   Std. Dev.       Min        Max
-------------+-----------------------------------------------------
         war |     812    .0751232   .2637524          0          1
     warpre3 |   69730    .0008679   .0007851   .0000135   .0107721
     wardef2 |   69730    .0003929   .0003511   .0000135   .0044407
    warnodf2 |   69730    .0010999   .0009051   .0000502   .0107721
     waroff2 |   69730    .0013542   .0011022   .0000271    .011172
    warnoof2 |   69730    .0007917   .0006895   .0000133   .0074245
     warneu2 |   69730    .0011342   .0009487   .0000201   .0107721
    warnone2 |   69730    .0008282   .0007384   .0000135   .0094561

. 
. 
. heckprob war jdem capdif bidisp, select (disdum=jdem contig capprop swtglo de
> ndyt2d ofndyt1d neuto1d) nolog

Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      =     69730
                                                Censored obs       =     68918
                                                Uncensored obs     =       812

                                                Wald chi2(3)       =     15.77
Log likelihood = -4405.679                      Prob > chi2        =    0.0013

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
war          |
        jdem |  -.1601577   .3346731    -0.48   0.632    -.8161048    .4957894
      capdif |  -2.023293   .9843301    -2.06   0.040    -3.952545   -.0940419
      bidisp |  -.4788011   .1338772    -3.58   0.000    -.7411956   -.2164066
       _cons |  -.5182487   .7123103    -0.73   0.467    -1.914351     .877854
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
disdum       |
        jdem |  -.1432136   .0594686    -2.41   0.016    -.2597699   -.0266574
      contig |   .5232638    .030838    16.97   0.000     .4628224    .5837053
     capprop |   .1920691   .0383419     5.01   0.000     .1169205    .2672178
      swtglo |  -.4061413   .0396618   -10.24   0.000     -.483877   -.3284057
    dendyt2d |  -.1928806   .0333994    -5.77   0.000    -.2583423    -.127419
    ofndyt1d |   .1852094   .0381343     4.86   0.000     .1104674    .2599513
     neuto1d |   .2016878    .038623     5.22   0.000     .1259882    .2773874
       _cons |  -2.307463   .0357949   -64.46   0.000    -2.377619   -2.237306
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
     /athrho |  -.1809646   .2663005    -0.68   0.497    -.7029039    .3409747
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         rho |  -.1790147   .2577665                     -.6062078    .3283473
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LR test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0):   chi2(1) =     0.45   Prob > chi2 = 0.5031
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. predict warpre4, pcond
(69024 missing values generated)

. replace bidisp=1
(69293 real changes made)

. predict warbi2, pcond
(106 missing values generated)

. replace bidisp=0
(69836 real changes made)

. predict warnobi2, pcond
(106 missing values generated)

. replace bidisp=bilat
(69567 real changes made, 69024 to missing)

. 
. sum war warpre4 warbi2 warnobi2

    Variable |     Obs        Mean   Std. Dev.       Min        Max
-------------+-----------------------------------------------------
         war |     812    .0751232   .2637524          0          1
     warpre4 |     812    .0751187   .0377516    .013911   .1758379
      warbi2 |   69730    .0466731   .0151739   .0066558   .0882254
    warnobi2 |   69730    .1153854   .0310226   .0233418   .1931725

. 
end of do-file

. log close
       log:  C:\Work\Research\Alliance\escexp\MintzRussett\Leeds2004.smcl
  log type:  smcl
 closed on:   7 Oct 2004, 15:11:54
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
